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06/26/2013

Gold Slips to 34-Month Low as Precious Metals Slide on Fed View
By Nicholas Larkin & Glenys Sim - Jun 26, 2013 8:13 AM ET
Gold plunged to a 34-month low, set for a record quarterly drop, as improving U.S. economic data strengthened the case for the Federal Reserve to reduce stimulus. Silver fell to the lowest since August 2010, platinum the cheapest since 2009 and palladium the lowest since November.
Gold dropped 23 percent this quarter, heading for its biggest loss since at least 1920 in
London. Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said last week the central bank may slow its asset-purchase program this year if the economy continues to improve. U.S. durable-goods orders rose more than expected, home sales advanced to the highest in almost five years and consumer confidence climbed, data showed yesterday.

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Gold bars are stored in a vault at the United States Mint at West Point in West Point, New York. Photographer: Scott Eells/Bloomberg
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8:35
June 21 (Bloomberg) -- Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom report, talks about the stock, bond and commodity markets. He speaks with Trish Regan and Tom Keene on Bloomberg Television's "Street Smart." (Source: Bloomberg)
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2:17
June 11 (Bloomberg) -- Billionaire John Paulson, the hedge-fund manager trying to recover from losses related to bullion this year, posted a 13 percent decline in his Gold Fund last month, according to a letter to investors. The drop brings losses in the strategy to 54 percent since the start of the year, the firm said in the letter, a copy of which was obtained by Bloomberg News. Kelly Bit reports on Bloomberg Television's "Money Moves." Deirdre Bolton also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)
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4:26
June 4 (Bloomberg) -- Stephen Cucchiaro, chief investment officer at Windhaven Investment Management Inc., talks about the outlook for gold prices and investment strategy. He speaks with Tom Keene and Sara Eisen on Bloomberg Television's "Surveillance." Adam Parker, chief U.S. equity strategist at Morgan Stanley, also speaks. (Source: Bloomberg)
About $60 billion was wiped from the value of precious metals exchange-traded product holdings this year as some investors lost faith in them as a store of value and speculation grew that the Fed will taper debt-buying that helped gold cap a 12-year bull run last year. A lack of accelerating inflation and mounting concern about the strength of the global economy is hurting silver, platinum and palladium, which are used more in industry than gold.
“Gold and precious metals are out of favor,”
Peter Fertig, the owner of Quantitative Commodity Research Ltd. in Hainburg,Germany, said today by phone. “If there’s something indicating an end to bond buying, then investors turn more negative. Some investors see the knife falling and think it might fall further, so may delay any purchases.”
Gold Price
Gold for immediate delivery fell as much as 4.2 percent to $1,224.18 an ounce, the lowest since Aug. 24, 2010, and was at $1,232.72 by 12:47 p.m. in London. Bullion for August delivery dropped 3.4 percent to $1,231.70 on the Comex inNew York. Futures trading volume was more than double the average in the past 100 days for this time of day, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Silver for immediate delivery slid as much as 6.1 percent to $18.4505 an ounce in London, the lowest since August 2010, and was last at $18.6726. Platinum, which entered a
bear market last week, dropped as much as 2.4 percent to $1,317.24 an ounce in London, the lowest since October 2009. It was last at $1,328.24. Palladium was down 2.7 percent at $648.43 an ounce. It reached $640.23, the lowest since Nov. 21.
Gold entered a bear market in April, extending the retreat from its all-time high of $1,921.15 in September 2011. Analysts from Morgan Stanley to Credit Suisse Group AG and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. trimmed gold forecasts this week, with Morgan Stanley saying that waning investor interest has turned more serious amid a clearer outlook for when the Fed may withdraw stimulus.
Technical Selling
“The fact that it has fallen below last week’s low is likely to have prompted follow-up selling for technical reasons,” analysts at Commerzbank AG wrote today in a report. Better-than-expected U.S. data “makes it all the more likely that the U.S. Federal Reserve will prematurely scale back its bond purchasing program.”
Gold’s 14-day relative strength index was at 22.5 today. That’s below the level of 30 that indicates to some analysts who study technical charts that a rebound may be imminent. The metal’s 60-day historical volatility reached 32.4 percent, the highest since October 2011.
An ounce of gold bought as many as 66.5 ounces of silver in London today, the most since August 2010. Silver is 34 percent lower this quarter, set for the biggest such drop since the start of 1980. It’s the worst performer this year on the Standard & Poor GSCI gauge of 24 commodities. The index is down 5.5 percent this year, partly on concern that growth may slow in
China.
ETP Holdings
Assets in the SPDR Gold Trust, the largest bullion-backed ETP, fell 16.2 metric tons to 969.5 tons yesterday, the lowest since February 2009, according to its website. Global holdings are at their lowest since June 2010, data compiled by Bloomberg show. The number of hedge fundsinvesting in bullion dropped to the lowest since 2010 and assets slumped on losses and redemptions, according to EurekaHedge Pte Ltd., a Singapore-based fund-research company.
The dollar reached a three-week high against six major currencies today, after gaining the previous five days.
“The raft of figures that came out of the U.S. all pointed to a stronger growth pattern, which pushed the
U.S. dollar higher,” David Lennox, an analyst at Fat Prophets, said from Sydney. “That’s two nails in the coffin for gold: a stronger U.S. dollar and expectations that quantitative easing will be scaled back.”
Platinum and palladium are used in jewelry and pollution-control devices in cars. European car sales fell to a 20-year low in May as rising joblessness caused by a recession in the euro region reduced demand, the Brussels-based European Automobile Manufacturers’ Association said June 18.
To contact the reporters on this story: Nicholas Larkin in London at
nlarkin1@bloomberg.net; Glenys Sim in Singapore at gsim4@bloomberg.net
To contact the editor responsible for this story: Claudia Carpenter at
ccarpenter2@bloomberg.net